By Yitzhak Katznelson and Yonatan R. Katznelson
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Extra resources for A (Terse) Introduction to Linear Algebra (Student Mathematical Library, Vol. 44)
Note that it took more time to recover from every bear market there has ever been than the duration of the actual bear market itself. This last bear market was the third longest in duration since the Great Depression and the worst since 1938. Investors should realize that these long bear markets will occur again in the future, so a strategy to protect principal must be in place in advance to avoid this ravaging of principal. Percent Gain After Bear Market The percentage gain after bear markets, can be substantial, as Table 1-7 illustrates.
6 percent. That was its largest yearly increase since the index was created in 1971. ” Unfortunately, bear markets arrive every three to five years (four years on average), and they can demolish your capital. It can then take years to get back to breakeven, assuming you have the 14 MARKET-TIMING BASICS stomach to hold at the bottom. Don’t forget that a 50 percent loss in a stock or mutual funds requires a 100 percent gain, just to break even. And in the case of a 75 percent loss, a 300 percent gain is needed to break even.
But that all came to a screeching halt when the big bear started growling in the first quarter of 2000. The bear then unceremoniously clawed the market over the next three years, to prices not seen for five years. Investors Are Too Emotional and Overconfident The stock market is a very difficult place to make money. This is not a new thought. Over the past 100 years the stock market has been The Stock Market ϭ Bull Markets ϩ Bear Markets 7 punctuated with sharp, uplifting bull markets, followed by swiftly plummeting bear markets.